Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Buducnost Podgorica beat FK Mornar Bar 3-2 in First League.
Venue: Podgorica City Stadium.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Buducnost Podgorica won 3-2.
Story
Buducnost Podgorica vs FK Mornar Bar: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with FK Mornar Bar applying more of the pressure.
57' — Buducnost Podgorica took the lead: 1-0. 72' — Buducnost Podgorica extended the lead: 2-0. 82' — Buducnost Podgorica extended the lead: 3-0. 85' — FK Mornar Bar pulled one back: 3-1. It came in the closing minutes. 88' — FK Mornar Bar pulled one back: 3-2. It came in the closing minutes. Buducnost Podgorica won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Buducnost PodgoricaDrawFK Mornar Bar
Pre-match model estimate: Buducnost Podgorica 37%, draw 27%, FK Mornar Bar 36%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Buducnost PodgoricaFK Mornar Bar
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min099
Last 15 min1795
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Buducnost Podgorica win in 37% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and FK Mornar Bar win 36%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 50%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The first half ended 0-0, with FK Mornar Bar the side applying more pressure.
Buducnost Podgorica took the lead on 57 minutes. Buducnost Podgorica extended their lead to 2-0 on 72 minutes. Buducnost Podgorica extended their lead to 3-0 on 82 minutes. Late on, in the 85th minute, FK Mornar Bar pulled one back to make it 3-1. FK Mornar Bar pulled one back to make it 3-2 on 88 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 1-5, 1-4 on target. Buducnost Podgorica won 4 corners, FK Mornar Bar 10. FK Mornar Bar produced 251 dangerous attacks to Buducnost Podgorica's 148.
What it means
The result lifts Buducnost Podgorica to 1st with 22 points, up from 4th. FK Mornar Bar drop from 2nd to 3rd on 20 points. Buducnost Podgorica extend their unbeaten run to 8 matches. Buducnost Podgorica ended FK Mornar Bar's unbeaten run of 6 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
First League
