Brooklyn FC vs Birmingham Legion FC: the story of the match
7' — Brooklyn FC took the lead: 1-0. Malik Pinto scored it. 18' — Birmingham Legion FC equalised: 1-1. Sebastian Tregarthen scored it. Half time: 1-1.
63' — Birmingham Legion FC completed the turnaround: 1-2. Sebastian Tregarthen scored it. Birmingham Legion FC won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Brooklyn FCDrawBirmingham Legion FC
Pre-match model estimate: Brooklyn FC 37%, draw 26%, Birmingham Legion FC 37%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Brooklyn FC win in 37% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Birmingham Legion FC win 37%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Brooklyn FC took the lead on 7 minutes thanks to Malik Pinto. Birmingham Legion FC drew level at 1-1 in the 18th minute: Sebastian Tregarthen. It was Brooklyn FC 1-1 Birmingham Legion FC at half-time.
Birmingham Legion FC completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 63rd minute: Sebastian Tregarthen.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 3-2, 2-1 on target.
What the result means
Brooklyn FC have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Birmingham Legion FC's run of 3 clean sheets is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
USL Championship
