Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Millwall U21 beat Bristol City U21 3-1 in Professional Gelişim League.
In our records Bristol City U21 and Millwall U21 have met 4 times: Bristol City U21 won 0, 1 ended level and Millwall U21 won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Millwall U21 2-1 Bristol City U21.
Match details
Coaches
Dennis Baraznowski · –
Match decisions & VAR
53'Penalty awardedMillwall U21Decision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Millwall U21 won 1-3.
Story
Bristol City U21 vs Millwall U21: the story of the match
19' — Bristol City U21 took the lead: 1-0. 37' — Millwall U21 equalised: 1-1. 42' — Millwall U21 completed the turnaround: 1-2. Half time: 1-2.
54' — Millwall U21 extended the lead: 1-3. Millwall U21 won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Bristol City U21DrawMillwall U21
Pre-match model estimate: Bristol City U21 56%, draw 20%, Millwall U21 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Bristol City U21 win in 56% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Millwall U21 win 24%. Average goals 3.8; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 70%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Bristol City U21 took the lead on 19 minutes. Millwall U21 drew level at 1-1 on 37 minutes. Millwall U21 completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 42 minutes. Millwall U21 led 2-1 at the break.
Millwall U21 extended their lead to 3-1 on 54 minutes.
The statistics
Bristol City U21 had 3 shots (2 on target) to Millwall U21's 6 (6).
What it means
The wait for a win goes on for Bristol City U21: 4 matches now.
