Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Braga B and AC Vila Mea drew 2-2 in Campeonato de Portugal.
Match decisions & VAR
26'Goal disallowedBraga BDecision · Score 0-1
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
Braga B vs AC Vila Mea: the story of the match
19' — AC Vila Mea took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
61' — Braga B equalised: 1-1. 84' — Braga B completed the turnaround: 2-1. 88' — AC Vila Mea equalised: 2-2. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Braga BDrawAC Vila Mea
Pre-match model estimate: Braga B 60%, draw 23%, AC Vila Mea 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Braga B win in 60% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and AC Vila Mea win 17%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 44%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 5.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It finished 2-2 between Braga B and AC Vila Mea. It was 0-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
AC Vila Mea took the lead on 19 minutes. The officials disallowed a Braga B goal on 26 minutes. AC Vila Mea led 1-0 at the break.
Braga B drew level at 1-1 on 61 minutes. Braga B completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 84 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (88') AC Vila Mea drew level at 2-2.
The statistics
Corners finished 6-5.
What it means
Braga B's winning streak stops at 3.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
