Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
BFA Vilnius beat FK Minija Kretinga 2-1 in 1 Lyga.
In our records BFA Vilnius and FK Minija Kretinga have met 10 times: BFA Vilnius won 3, 3 ended level and FK Minija Kretinga won 4.
Their latest meeting (): FK Minija Kretinga 3-0 BFA Vilnius.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: BFA Vilnius won 2-1.
Story
BFA Vilnius vs FK Minija Kretinga: the story of the match
22' — BFA Vilnius took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
54' — FK Minija Kretinga equalised: 1-1. 56' — BFA Vilnius went back in front: 2-1. BFA Vilnius won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
BFA VilniusDrawFK Minija Kretinga
Pre-match model estimate: BFA Vilnius 13%, draw 19%, FK Minija Kretinga 68%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): BFA Vilnius win in 13% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and FK Minija Kretinga win 68%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 0-2 (11%); both teams score in 51%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
BFA Vilnius took the lead on 22 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, BFA Vilnius in front.
FK Minija Kretinga drew level at 1-1 on 54 minutes. BFA Vilnius went 2-1 up on 56 minutes.
The statistics
On target it was 7-4, from 7 and 11 attempts respectively. BFA Vilnius won 2 corners, FK Minija Kretinga 5. FK Minija Kretinga produced 63 dangerous attacks to BFA Vilnius' 30.
What it means
The result lifts BFA Vilnius to 5th with 46 points, up from 8th. FK Minija Kretinga drop from 1st to 2nd on 67 points. BFA Vilnius end a run of 3 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
1 Lyga
