Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Barra FC beat Santa Catarina Clube 3-0 in Copa Santa Catarina.
Match decisions & VAR
71'Penalty awardedBarra FCDecision
88'Red cardSanta Catarina ClubeDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Barra FC won 3-0.
Story
Barra FC vs Santa Catarina Clube: the story of the match
16' — Barra FC took the lead: 1-0. 21' — Barra FC extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0.
72' — Barra FC extended the lead: 3-0. 88' — Santa Catarina Clube had a player sent off. Barra FC won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Barra FCDrawSanta Catarina Clube
Pre-match model estimate: Barra FC 37%, draw 26%, Santa Catarina Clube 37%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Barra FC win in 37% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Santa Catarina Clube win 37%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
