Balzan FC vs Birkirkara FC: the story of the match
45' — Birkirkara FC took the lead: 0-1. F. Sasere scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 0-1.
79' — Z. Grech of Balzan FC was sent off. 81' — Birkirkara FC extended the lead: 0-2. F. Sasere scored from the penalty spot. 86' — Gabriel Santos of Balzan FC was sent off. Birkirkara FC won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Balzan FCDrawBirkirkara FC
Pre-match model estimate: Balzan FC 31%, draw 28%, Birkirkara FC 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Balzan FC win in 31% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Birkirkara FC win 41%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Balzan FC – Birkirkara FC match report
Updated:
Birkirkara FC kept a clean sheet in a 2-0 win over Balzan FC in the VBET Malta Premier. F. Sasere scored twice for Birkirkara FC. The half-time score was 0-1.
Key moments
Birkirkara FC took the lead on 45 minutes thanks to F. Sasere from the penalty spot. Half-time: 0-1, Birkirkara FC in front.
Balzan FC had a player sent off on 79 minutes: Z. Grech. Birkirkara FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 81 minutes thanks to F. Sasere from the penalty spot. Balzan FC were a man down from the 86th minute, when Gabriel Santos was sent off for a second yellow card.
The statistics
The shot count read 5-6, 2-4 on target. Balzan FC won 3 corners, Birkirkara FC 7.
What it means
Balzan FC drop from 8th to 9th on 11 points. The result lifts Birkirkara FC to 6th with 14 points, up from 9th. Balzan FC have now gone 6 matches without a win. Birkirkara FC end a run of 3 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
