One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
AVS Vila das AvesKick-off0-0CD Tondela
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals AVS Vila das Aves 1.0 – 1.5 CD Tondela. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (9%). Both teams score in 49% of the simulated matches.
AVS Vila das Aves beat CD Tondela2-1 in Liga Portugal 2 at Estádio do CD das Aves. It was 1-0 at half-time. Hiago Santos was our player of the match, rated 6.9 by the ScoreMondo model for AVS Vila das Aves. The match was played on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estádio do CD das Aves in Vila das Aves (matchday 8).
Key moments
AVS Vila das Aves took the lead on 5 minutes thanks to Hiago Santos. AVS Vila das Aves led 1-0 at the break.
Late on, in the 86th minute, AVS Vila das Aves extended their lead to 2-0 through J. Meireles, set up by A. Sousa. CD Tondela pulled one back to make it 2-1 in the 90th minute with Bebeto from the penalty spot. AVS Vila das Aves had a goal ruled out.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 3-12. The referee showed 9 yellow cards, 6 to AVS Vila das Aves and 3 to CD Tondela. AVS Vila das Aves' goalkeeper made 7 saves. Dangerous attacks: 158 for CD Tondela, 48 for AVS Vila das Aves. AVS Vila das Aves committed 15 fouls to CD Tondela's 13, and the offside count read 1-3.
AVS Vila das Aves' yellow cards went to F. Almeida in the 7th minute, Hiago Santos in the 18th minute, G. Neiva in the 27th minute, D. Rivas in the 56th minute and Mateus Pivo in the 70th minute. Booked for CD Tondela: Mateus Sarara (4'), Carraca (15') and H. Felix (36').
Ratings and substitutions
The best ScoreMondo ratings after the player of the match went to J. Meireles (AVS Vila das Aves, 7.0), A. Sousa (AVS Vila das Aves, 6.6) and Bebeto (CD Tondela, 6.3). From the AVS Vila das Aves bench came P. Pimentel on 68 minutes, R. Ndo on 68 minutes, A. Sousa on 72 minutes and D. Brasido on 76 minutes, among 5 changes. CD Tondela made 5 changes: Bebeto for Carraca (46'), Tiago Dias for H. Felix (46'), Y. Sithole for H. Tavares (69') and H. Addo for Mateus Sarara (76').
The context
AVS Vila das Aves came into the match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches — unbeaten in 4. Their most recent game was a 1-0 win over Moreirense for AVS Vila das Aves. Before kick-off, CD Tondela's last 5 matches had brought 5 wins. Last time out, CD Tondela beat FC Alverca 2-0 at home. The record between them over the last 6 matches reads 0-3-3 from AVS Vila das Aves' point of view. The last meeting, in 2026, finished 0-0. Those 6 games produced 13 goals, an average of 2.2 per match. Diogo Teixeira Araujo was the referee, averaging 6.4 yellow cards per match across 11 matches in our records.
What it means
That is 4 straight wins for AVS Vila das Aves. CD Tondela's winning streak stops at 5. AVS Vila das Aves had not beaten CD Tondela in any of the previous 6 meetings we have.
What’s next
CD Tondela host SC Farense next, on 15 November in Liga Portugal 2.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga Portugal 2
