Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Aveley FC beat Carshalton Athletic FC 2-1 in FA Trophy.
Venue: Parkside.
In our records Aveley FC and Carshalton Athletic FC have met 6 times: Aveley FC won 1, 4 ended level and Carshalton Athletic FC won 1.
Their latest meeting (): Aveley FC 0-0 Carshalton Athletic FC.
Match details
Venue
Parkside, Aveley capacity 3,500
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Aveley FC won 2-1.
Story
Aveley FC vs Carshalton Athletic FC: the story of the match
9' — Aveley FC took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
52' — Aveley FC extended the lead: 2-0. 90' — Carshalton Athletic FC pulled one back: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. Aveley FC won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Aveley FCDrawCarshalton Athletic FC
Pre-match model estimate: Aveley FC 46%, draw 23%, Carshalton Athletic FC 31%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Aveley FC win in 46% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Carshalton Athletic FC win 31%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 61%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Aveley FC took the lead on 9 minutes. It was Aveley FC 1-0 Carshalton Athletic FC at half-time.
Aveley FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 52 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Carshalton Athletic FC pulled one back to make it 2-1.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 4-7.
The bigger picture
Aveley FC have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. The wait for a win goes on for Carshalton Athletic FC: 6 matches now. Aveley FC beat Carshalton Athletic FC for the first time since 2019.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
