Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) vs Newells Old Boys (Reserves): the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 2' — Newells Old Boys (Reserves) took the lead: 0-1. 35' — Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) equalised: 1-1. 37' — Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) completed the turnaround: 2-1. Half time: 2-1, with Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) applying more of the pressure.
70' — Newells Old Boys (Reserves) equalised: 2-2. 74' — Newells Old Boys (Reserves) had a player sent off. After 46' the momentum swung to Newells Old Boys (Reserves). The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Atletico Rafaela (Reserves)DrawNewells Old Boys (Reserves)
Pre-match model estimate: Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) 28%, draw 27%, Newells Old Boys (Reserves) 45%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Atletico Rafaela (Reserves)Newells Old Boys (Reserves)
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min6831
Last 15 min6265
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) win in 28% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Newells Old Boys (Reserves) win 45%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 32%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) – Newells Old Boys (Reserves) match report
Newells Old Boys (Reserves) took the lead on 2 minutes. Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) drew level at 1-1 on 35 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (37') Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) completed the turnaround at 2-1. Half-time: 2-1, Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) in front.
Newells Old Boys (Reserves) took over after the 46th minute, pinning Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) back. Newells Old Boys (Reserves) drew level at 2-2 on 70 minutes. Newells Old Boys (Reserves) had a player sent off on 74 minutes.
Match statistics
Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) had 6 shots (5 on target) to Newells Old Boys (Reserves)'s 8 (8). Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) won 2 corners, Newells Old Boys (Reserves) 6.
What it means
The result takes Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) to 13 points. Newells Old Boys (Reserves) move on to 35 points. Atletico Rafaela (Reserves) have now gone 4 matches without a win. Newells Old Boys (Reserves) extend their unbeaten run to 7 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Reserve League
