Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United: the story of the match
1' — Atletico Madrid took the lead: 1-0. Pablo Barrios scored it. Half time: 1-0.
74' — Leny Yoro of Manchester United was sent off. 79' — Atletico Madrid extended the lead: 2-0. Ademola Lookman scored it. Atletico Madrid won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Atletico MadridDrawManchester United
Pre-match model estimate: Atletico Madrid 53%, draw 22%, Manchester United 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Atletico Madrid took the lead in the 1st minute: Pablo Barrios, set up by Álex Baena. Atletico Madrid led 1-0 at the break.
Manchester United were a man down from the 74th minute, when Leny Yoro was sent off. Atletico Madrid extended their lead to 2-0 in the 79th minute: Ademola Lookman.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 6-6, 5-4 on target. Atletico Madrid won 2 corners, Manchester United 5.
The bigger picture
Atletico Madrid have now won 5 in a row. Manchester United have now gone 5 matches without a win.
Next fixtures
Next up for Atletico Madrid: away at Levante on Saturday 31 October. Manchester United's next match is away to Chelsea on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
UEFA Champions League
