Atletico Madrid B vs AD Alcorcon: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
50' — Atletico Madrid B took the lead: 1-0. M. Domenech scored it. 90' — AD Alcorcon equalised: 1-1. J. Lancho scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Atletico Madrid BDrawAD Alcorcon
Pre-match model estimate: Atletico Madrid B 36%, draw 24%, AD Alcorcon 40%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Atletico Madrid B win in 36% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and AD Alcorcon win 40%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 60%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was Atletico Madrid B 0-0 AD Alcorcon at half-time.
Atletico Madrid B took the lead on 50 minutes thanks to M. Domenech, set up by M. Gil Rodriguez. J. Lancho equalised for AD Alcorcon at 1-1 after 90 minutes, set up by E. Aparicio. A AD Alcorcon goal stood after a VAR check in the 98th minute.
Match statistics
On target it was 4-5, from 8 and 12 attempts respectively. Corners finished 3-8. Atletico Madrid B's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 223 for AD Alcorcon, 101 for Atletico Madrid B.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for Atletico Madrid B: 7 matches now. AD Alcorcon have now gone 4 matches without a win. Across 9 meetings in our records: 4 wins for Atletico Madrid B and 5 draws.
Coming up
Next up for Atletico Madrid B: home to CD Teruel on Sunday 15 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera Federacion, Group 2
