Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Arlanda beat Assyriska FF 3-1 in 1st Division.
Venue: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena.
In our records Assyriska FF and FC Arlanda have met 3 times: Assyriska FF won 0, 1 ended level and FC Arlanda won 2.
Their latest meeting (): FC Arlanda 2-0 Assyriska FF.
Match decisions & VAR
50'Red cardAssyriska FFDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Arlanda won 1-3.
Story
Assyriska FF vs FC Arlanda: the story of the match
16' — FC Arlanda took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
50' — Assyriska FF had a player sent off. 54' — FC Arlanda extended the lead: 0-2. 82' — FC Arlanda extended the lead: 0-3. 90' — Assyriska FF pulled one back: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. FC Arlanda won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Assyriska FFDrawFC Arlanda
Pre-match model estimate: Assyriska FF 29%, draw 22%, FC Arlanda 49%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Assyriska FF win in 29% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and FC Arlanda win 49%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 67%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Arlanda took the lead on 16 minutes. It was Assyriska FF 0-1 FC Arlanda at half-time.
Assyriska FF had a player sent off on 50 minutes. FC Arlanda extended their lead to 2-0 on 54 minutes. FC Arlanda extended their lead to 3-0 on 82 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Assyriska FF pulled one back to make it 1-3.
What the numbers say
Assyriska FF had 3 shots (1 on target) to FC Arlanda's 6 (4). Corners finished 6-6. Dangerous attacks: 156 for FC Arlanda, 88 for Assyriska FF.
What it means
Assyriska FF sit 9th on 35 points in the standings. In the table, FC Arlanda are 3rd with 51 points.
What’s next
Assyriska FF visit Karlbergs BK next, on 1 November in the 1st Division. Next up for FC Arlanda: home to AFC Eskilstuna on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
1st Division
