Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
AC Prato beat ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio 3-1 in Italy / Serie D - Girone D.
In our records ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio and AC Prato have met 5 times: ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio won 3, 0 ended level and AC Prato won 2.
Their latest meeting (): AC Prato 1-2 ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AC Prato won 1-3.
Story
ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio vs AC Prato: the story of the match
10' — AC Prato took the lead: 0-1. 43' — AC Prato extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2.
63' — AC Prato extended the lead: 0-3. 90' — ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio pulled one back: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. AC Prato won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ASD Seravezza Pozzi CalcioDrawAC Prato
Pre-match model estimate: ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio 33%, draw 27%, AC Prato 40%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio win in 33% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and AC Prato win 40%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 51%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ASD Seravezza Pozzi Calcio – AC Prato match report