Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
ASD Castrum Favara and AS Reggina 1914 meet on in Italy / Serie D - Girone D.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards AS Reggina 1914 (64%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
15%21%64%
ASD Castrum Favara15%Draw21%AS Reggina 191464%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
ASD Castrum Favara vs AS Reggina 1914: preview
ASD Castrum Favara have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. 5 of ASD Castrum Favara's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. AS Reggina 1914 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. AS Reggina 1914 have scored in 3 matches in a row. 5 of AS Reggina 1914's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3.
Our pre-match model estimate: ASD Castrum Favara 15%, draw 21%, AS Reggina 1914 64%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): ASD Castrum Favara win in 15% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and AS Reggina 1914 win 64%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 0-1 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Over the last 5 matches, ASD Castrum Favara have collected 1 win and 4 defeats. Trapani beat ASD Castrum Favara 1-0 last time out. Across 10 matches, ASD Castrum Favara have scored 1.3 and let in 1.3 goals per match on average.
Recent form for AS Reggina 1914: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 5, with 7 goals for and 6 against. AS Reggina 1914 have found the net in 3 straight games. AS Reggina 1914 have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Italy / Serie D - Girone D
