This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): ASC Jaraaf win in 41% of the simulated matches, 33% end level and Wally Daan win 26%. Average goals 1.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (18%); both teams score in 33%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Wally Daan failed to score as ASC Jaraaf won 1-0 in the League 1. It was 0-0 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
It was ASC Jaraaf 0-0 Wally Daan at half-time.
ASC Jaraaf took the lead on 60 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 3-6.
The bigger picture
ASC Jaraaf are now unbeaten in 8 matches. Wally Daan's 4-match unbeaten run is over. ASC Jaraaf had not beaten Wally Daan in any of the previous 4 meetings we have.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
