Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
AS Kasserine beat AS Ariana 2-1 in League 2.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AS Kasserine won 1-2.
Story
AS Ariana vs AS Kasserine: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with AS Ariana applying more of the pressure.
46' — AS Kasserine took the lead: 0-1. 73' — AS Ariana equalised: 1-1. 90' — AS Kasserine went back in front: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. After 91' the momentum swung to AS Kasserine. AS Kasserine won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AS ArianaDrawAS Kasserine
Pre-match model estimate: AS Ariana 28%, draw 34%, AS Kasserine 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
AS ArianaAS Kasserine
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min3131
Last 15 min3158
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The first half ended 0-0, with AS Ariana the side applying more pressure.
AS Kasserine took the lead on 46 minutes. AS Ariana drew level at 1-1 on 73 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, AS Kasserine went 2-1 up. From the 91st minute the pressure shifted towards AS Kasserine.
What the numbers say
On target it was 3-2, from 4 and 3 attempts respectively. Dangerous attacks: 111 for AS Ariana, 74 for AS Kasserine.
The bigger picture
That is 5 straight wins for AS Kasserine.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
