Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Argentinos Juniors beat Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 in Primera LPF, Clausura.
Venue: Diego Armando Maradona.
Referee: Dario Herrera.
In our records Argentinos Juniors and Independiente Rivadavia have met 8 times: Argentinos Juniors won 2, 2 ended level and Independiente Rivadavia won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Independiente Rivadavia 3-1 Argentinos Juniors.
Match details
Venue
Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires
Cards
Argentinos Juniors🟨 6🟥 0Independiente Rivadavia🟨 3🟥 0
Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with Independiente Rivadavia applying more of the pressure.
68' — Argentinos Juniors took the lead: 1-0. Sebastián Prieto scored it. After 46' the momentum swung to Argentinos Juniors. After 91' the momentum swung to Independiente Rivadavia. Argentinos Juniors won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Argentinos JuniorsDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
Pre-match model estimate: Argentinos Juniors 48%, draw 27%, Independiente Rivadavia 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Argentinos JuniorsIndependiente Rivadavia
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min2268
Last 15 min4251
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Argentinos Juniors win in 48% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Independiente Rivadavia win 25%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 44%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Argentinos Juniors – Independiente Rivadavia match report
Independiente Rivadavia had a goal ruled out in the 17th minute. The first half ended 0-0, with Independiente Rivadavia the side applying more pressure.
Argentinos Juniors took over after the 46th minute, pinning Independiente Rivadavia back. Argentinos Juniors took the lead in the 68th minute: Sebastián Prieto. From the 91st minute the pressure shifted towards Independiente Rivadavia.
What the numbers say
On target it was 7-2, from 8 and 3 attempts respectively. Argentinos Juniors won 9 corners, Independiente Rivadavia 3.
What it means
The result takes Argentinos Juniors to 32 points. Independiente Rivadavia move on to 34 points. Argentinos Juniors extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches. Independiente Rivadavia have now gone 4 matches without a win.
Primera LPF, Clausura
