Argentino de Merlo vs CS Deportivo Merlo: the story of the match
39' — Argentino de Merlo took the lead: 1-0. D. Ursino scored it. Half time: 1-0.
Argentino de Merlo won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Argentino de MerloDrawCS Deportivo Merlo
Pre-match model estimate: Argentino de Merlo 47%, draw 31%, CS Deportivo Merlo 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Argentino de Merlo win in 47% of the simulated matches, 31% end level and CS Deportivo Merlo win 22%. Average goals 1.8; the most likely score is 1-0 (19%); both teams score in 33%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Argentino de Merlo – CS Deportivo Merlo match report
Argentino de Merlo took the lead on 39 minutes thanks to D. Ursino. It was Argentino de Merlo 1-0 CS Deportivo Merlo at half-time.
What the numbers say
Argentino de Merlo won 2 corners, CS Deportivo Merlo 5. CS Deportivo Merlo produced 54 dangerous attacks to Argentino de Merlo's 36.
The bigger picture
The result lifts Argentino de Merlo to 15th with 47 points, up from 17th. CS Deportivo Merlo drop from 13th to 14th on 48 points. Argentino de Merlo end a run of 4 straight defeats. Argentino de Merlo ended CS Deportivo Merlo's unbeaten run of 3 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
