3' — Angola took the lead: 1-0. Felicio Milson scored it. 38' — Angola extended the lead: 2-0. Mabululu scored it. 45' — Malawi pulled one back: 2-1. An own goal by Kialonda Gaspar. Half time: 2-1.
71' — Angola extended the lead: 3-1. Miro scored it. Angola won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AngolaDrawMalawi
Pre-match model estimate: Angola 60%, draw 27%, Malawi 13%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Angola got the better of Malawi, winning 3-1 at Estádio 11 de Novembro. It was 2-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
Angola took the lead in the 3rd minute: Felicio Milson. Angola extended their lead to 2-0 in the 38th minute: Mabululu. Malawi pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 45 minutes thanks to an own goal from Kialonda Gaspar. Half-time: 2-1, Angola in front.
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
