Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Siwelele FC (Reserves) beat AmaZulu FC (Reserves) 1-0 in Diski Challenge.
Match decisions & VAR
17'Penalty awardedSiwelele FC (Reserves)Decision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Siwelele FC (Reserves) won 0-1.
Story
AmaZulu FC (Reserves) vs Siwelele FC (Reserves): the story of the match
19' — Siwelele FC (Reserves) took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
Siwelele FC (Reserves) won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AmaZulu FC (Reserves)DrawSiwelele FC (Reserves)
Pre-match model estimate: AmaZulu FC (Reserves) 36%, draw 26%, Siwelele FC (Reserves) 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AmaZulu FC (Reserves) win in 36% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Siwelele FC (Reserves) win 38%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AmaZulu FC (Reserves) – Siwelele FC (Reserves) match report
