Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Al Shorta SC Baghdad won 0-2.
Story
Al Zawraa SC vs Al Shorta SC Baghdad: the story of the match
40' — Al Shorta SC Baghdad took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
59' — Al Shorta SC Baghdad extended the lead: 0-2. Al Shorta SC Baghdad won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Al Zawraa SCDrawAl Shorta SC Baghdad
Pre-match model estimate: Al Zawraa SC 40%, draw 27%, Al Shorta SC Baghdad 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Al Zawraa SC win in 40% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Al Shorta SC Baghdad win 33%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A Al Shorta SC Baghdad goal stood after a VAR check in the 40th minute. Al Shorta SC Baghdad took the lead on 40 minutes. Al Shorta SC Baghdad led 1-0 at the break.
VAR checked and confirmed the Al Shorta SC Baghdad goal on 59 minutes. Al Shorta SC Baghdad extended their lead to 2-0 on 59 minutes.
The statistics
Corners finished 5-8.
What it means
The wait for a win goes on for Al Zawraa SC: 4 matches now. Al Shorta SC Baghdad are now unbeaten in 11 matches.
What’s next
Next up for Al Zawraa SC: home to Al Nasr SC Dubai on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
