Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Al Salmiyah beat Al Jahra 1-0 in Premier League.
In our records Al Salmiyah and Al Jahra have met 10 times: Al Salmiyah won 8, 0 ended level and Al Jahra won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Al Jahra 0-1 Al Salmiyah.
Match decisions & VAR
41'Goal disallowedAl JahraDecision · Score 1-0
43'Penalty awardedAl SalmiyahDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Al Salmiyah won 1-0.
Story
Al Salmiyah vs Al Jahra: the story of the match
6' — Al Salmiyah took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
Al Salmiyah won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Al SalmiyahDrawAl Jahra
Pre-match model estimate: Al Salmiyah 65%, draw 21%, Al Jahra 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Al Salmiyah win in 65% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Al Jahra win 14%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 46%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.