Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Aali beat Al Najma Manama 2-1 in Premier League.
In our records Al Najma Manama and Aali have met 7 times: Al Najma Manama won 2, 1 ended level and Aali won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Aali 2-0 Al Najma Manama.
Match decisions & VAR
10'Penalty awardedVARAaliDecision
81'Goal standsAaliVAR review · goalDecision
93'Penalty awardedAl Najma ManamaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Aali won 1-2.
Story
Al Najma Manama vs Aali: the story of the match
12' — Aali took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
80' — Aali extended the lead: 0-2. 90' — Al Najma Manama pulled one back: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. Aali won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Al Najma ManamaDrawAali
Pre-match model estimate: Al Najma Manama 38%, draw 27%, Aali 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Al Najma Manama win in 38% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Aali win 35%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 52%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
VAR awarded Aali a penalty in the 10th minute. Just 2 minutes later (12') Aali took the lead. Aali led 1-0 at the break.
Aali extended their lead to 2-0 on 80 minutes. VAR checked and confirmed the Aali goal on 81 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Al Najma Manama pulled one back to make it 1-2.
What the numbers say
On target it was 1-2, from 9 and 4 attempts respectively. Al Najma Manama won 12 corners, Aali 2. Al Najma Manama produced 69 dangerous attacks to Aali's 41.
What the result means
Al Najma Manama drop from 7th to 8th on 7 points. The result lifts Aali to 7th with 7 points, up from 10th. Al Najma Manama have now scored in 12 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
