74' — Al Gharafa SC took the lead: 1-0. Y. Brahimi scored it. 88' — Al Gharafa SC extended the lead: 2-0. Y. Brahimi scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Al Gharafa SC won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Al Gharafa SCDrawQatar SC
Pre-match model estimate: Al Gharafa SC 56%, draw 20%, Qatar SC 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Al Gharafa SC win in 56% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Qatar SC win 24%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 67%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Al Gharafa SC kept a clean sheet in a 2-0 win over Qatar SC in the Qatar Yıldızlar League. Y. Brahimi scored twice for Al Gharafa SC. The half-time score was 0-0.
The story of the match
Half-time: 0-0 between Al Gharafa SC and Qatar SC.
Al Gharafa SC took the lead in the 74th minute: Y. Brahimi, set up by Dame Traoré. Y. Brahimi made it 2-0 for Al Gharafa SC after 88 minutes, set up by Amro Abdelfatah Ali Surag.
The statistics
Al Gharafa SC won 7 corners, Qatar SC 4.
The bigger picture
Al Gharafa SC end a run of 5 matches without a win. Qatar SC's run of 4 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
