Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Al Ahli SC Amman beat Al Aqaba 3-1 in Division 1.
In our records Al Aqaba and Al Ahli SC Amman have met 10 times: Al Aqaba won 7, 1 ended level and Al Ahli SC Amman won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Al Ahli SC Amman 0-0 Al Aqaba.
Match decisions & VAR
64'Red cardAl AqabaDecision
71'Red cardAl AqabaDecision
95'Red cardAl AqabaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Al Ahli SC Amman won 1-3.
Story
Al Aqaba vs Al Ahli SC Amman: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
61' — Al Aqaba took the lead: 1-0. 64' — Al Aqaba had a player sent off. 69' — Al Ahli SC Amman equalised: 1-1. 71' — Al Aqaba had a player sent off. 80' — Al Ahli SC Amman completed the turnaround: 1-2. 90' — Al Ahli SC Amman extended the lead: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. 95' — Al Aqaba had a player sent off. Al Ahli SC Amman won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Al AqabaDrawAl Ahli SC Amman
Pre-match model estimate: Al Aqaba 10%, draw 18%, Al Ahli SC Amman 72%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Al Aqaba win in 10% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Al Ahli SC Amman win 72%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 0-2 (14%); both teams score in 43%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between Al Aqaba and Al Ahli SC Amman.
Al Aqaba took the lead on 61 minutes. Al Aqaba had a player sent off on 64 minutes. Just 5 minutes later (69') Al Ahli SC Amman drew level at 1-1. Al Aqaba were a man down from the 71st minute. Al Ahli SC Amman completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 80 minutes.
Al Ahli SC Amman extended their lead to 3-1 on 90 minutes. Al Aqaba had a player sent off on 95 minutes.
The statistics
On target it was 2-9, from 2 and 13 attempts respectively. Corners finished 1-14. Dangerous attacks: 85 for Al Ahli SC Amman, 25 for Al Aqaba.
The bigger picture
Al Aqaba remain 12th, now with 0 points. Al Ahli SC Amman climb from 9th to 8th on 7 points. Al Aqaba have lost 6 in a row. Al Ahli SC Amman have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
