Al Ain Abu Dhabi vs Tractor: the story of the match
22' — Al Ain Abu Dhabi took the lead: 1-0. Ramy Rabia scored it. Half time: 1-0.
55' — Tractor equalised: 1-1. Tibor Halilovic scored it. 70' — Al Ain Abu Dhabi went back in front: 2-1. Houssine Rahimi scored it. Al Ain Abu Dhabi won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Al Ain Abu DhabiDrawTractor
Pre-match model estimate: Al Ain Abu Dhabi 43%, draw 28%, Tractor 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Al Ain Abu Dhabi win in 43% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Tractor win 29%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 45%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AFC Champions League Elite, West Region
