Al Ahli Cairo vs El Qanah FC: the story of the match
18' — Al Ahli Cairo took the lead: 1-0. Omar El Saeey scored it. 33' — El Qanah FC equalised: 1-1. M. Hany scored it. 43' — Al Ahli Cairo went back in front: 2-1. An own goal by Ibrahim Samy. Half time: 2-1.
54' — El Qanah FC equalised: 2-2. Hazem Abou Sena scored it. 81' — El Qanah FC completed the turnaround: 2-3. An own goal by Yassin Marei. 90' — Al Ahli Cairo equalised: 3-3. A. Dari scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 3-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Al Ahli CairoDrawEl Qanah FC
Pre-match model estimate: Al Ahli Cairo 67%, draw 21%, El Qanah FC 12%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Al Ahli Cairo win in 67% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and El Qanah FC win 12%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (16%); both teams score in 39%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Al Ahli Cairo took the lead in the 18th minute: Omar El Saeey, set up by Mohamed Hany. El Qanah FC drew level at 1-1 on 33 minutes thanks to M. Hany. Al Ahli Cairo went 2-1 up in the 43rd minute: an own goal from Ibrahim Samy. It was Al Ahli Cairo 2-1 El Qanah FC at half-time.
El Qanah FC drew level at 2-2 in the 54th minute: Hazem Abou Sena. El Qanah FC completed the turnaround at 3-2 in the 81st minute: an own goal from Yassin Marei. VAR checked and confirmed the El Qanah FC goal on 82 minutes. Al Ahli Cairo drew level at 3-3 in the 90th minute: A. Dari. A Al Ahli Cairo goal stood after a VAR check in the 94th minute.
The statistics
Al Ahli Cairo won 7 corners, El Qanah FC 2.
What the result means
Al Ahli Cairo stay 2nd on 17 points. The result lifts El Qanah FC to 11th with 8 points, up from 13th. The result ends Al Ahli Cairo's run of 4 straight wins. El Qanah FC have now gone 7 matches without a win.
What’s next
Al Ahli Cairo's next match is away to Modern Sport FC on 29 October. El Qanah FC host ENPPI SC next, on 30 October in the Premier League.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
