Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Turan won 0-2.
Story
Akademiya Ontustik vs FC Turan: the story of the match
1' — FC Turan took the lead: 0-1. 19' — FC Turan extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2.
51' — FC Turan had a player sent off. 89' — Akademiya Ontustik had a player sent off. FC Turan won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Akademiya OntustikDrawFC Turan
Pre-match model estimate: Akademiya Ontustik 34%, draw 25%, FC Turan 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Akademiya Ontustik win in 34% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and FC Turan win 41%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Turan took the lead on 1 minutes. FC Turan extended their lead to 2-0 on 19 minutes. Half-time: 0-2, FC Turan in front.
FC Turan had a player sent off on 51 minutes. Akademiya Ontustik were a man down from the 89th minute. Akademiya Ontustik had a goal ruled out.
What the result means
Akademiya Ontustik stay 4th on 43 points. FC Turan remain 3rd, now with 57 points. Akademiya Ontustik have now gone 4 matches without a win. FC Turan extend their unbeaten run to 7 matches. It is FC Turan's first win against Akademiya Ontustik since 2023.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
