Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Brondby IF beat Akademisk Boldklub 2-1 in DBU Pokalen.
Venue: Gladsaxe Stadium.
Match decisions & VAR
46'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
78'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
81'Goal disallowedBrondby IFDecision · Score 1-2
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Brondby IF won 1-2.
Story
Akademisk Boldklub vs Brondby IF: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0.
46' — Brondby IF took the lead: 0-1. 78' — Brondby IF extended the lead: 0-2. 81' — Akademisk Boldklub pulled one back: 1-2. After 91' the momentum swung to Brondby IF. Brondby IF won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Akademisk BoldklubDrawBrondby IF
Pre-match model estimate: Akademisk Boldklub 17%, draw 20%, Brondby IF 63%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Akademisk BoldklubBrondby IF
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min046
Last 15 min019
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Akademisk Boldklub win in 17% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Brondby IF win 63%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-2 (10%); both teams score in 60%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was Akademisk Boldklub 0-0 Brondby IF at half-time.
Brondby IF took the lead on 46 minutes. Brondby IF extended their lead to 2-0 on 78 minutes. The officials disallowed a Brondby IF goal on 81 minutes. Akademisk Boldklub pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 81 minutes. From the 91st minute the pressure shifted towards Brondby IF.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 2-4, 1-2 on target. Corners finished 2-4.
What it means
Akademisk Boldklub's winning streak stops at 5. Brondby IF have now scored in 5 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for Akademisk Boldklub: away at FC Fredericia on Saturday 31 October. Brondby IF's next match is at home against Aarhus GF on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
DBU Pokalen
