48' — IF Brommapojkarna took the lead: 0-1. Simon Strand scored it. 55' — AIK equalised: 1-1. Abdihakim Ali scored it. 59' — IF Brommapojkarna went back in front: 1-2. Wilmer Odefalk scored it. 62' — IF Brommapojkarna extended the lead: 1-3. Kamilcan Sever scored it. 66' — IF Brommapojkarna extended the lead: 1-4. Kamilcan Sever scored it. 70' — IF Brommapojkarna extended the lead: 1-5. Anton Kurochkin scored it. 73' — AIK pulled one back: 2-5. Taha Ayari scored it. 81' — AIK pulled one back: 3-5. Sixten Gustafsson scored it. 84' — AIK pulled one back: 4-5. Sixten Gustafsson scored it. 90' — IF Brommapojkarna extended the lead: 4-6. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — AIK pulled one back: 5-6. It came in the closing minutes. IF Brommapojkarna won 5-6. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AIKDrawIF Brommapojkarna
Pre-match model estimate: AIK 52%, draw 22%, IF Brommapojkarna 26%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Simon Strand opened the scoring for IF Brommapojkarna after 48 minutes. Abdihakim Ali equalised for AIK at 1-1 after 55 minutes. IF Brommapojkarna went 2-1 up on 59 minutes thanks to Wilmer Odefalk. IF Brommapojkarna extended their lead to 3-1 on 62 minutes thanks to Kamilcan Sever. IF Brommapojkarna extended their lead to 4-1 in the 66th minute: Kamilcan Sever.
IF Brommapojkarna extended their lead to 5-1 in the 70th minute: Anton Kurochkin. Just 3 minutes later (73') AIK pulled one back to make it 2-5, Taha Ayari on target. AIK pulled one back to make it 3-5 on 81 minutes thanks to Sixten Gustafsson. AIK pulled one back to make it 4-5 on 84 minutes thanks to Sixten Gustafsson. Just 6 minutes later (90') IF Brommapojkarna extended their lead to 6-4.
Late on, in the 90th minute, AIK pulled one back to make it 5-6.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 11-0.
What the result means
The wait for a win goes on for AIK: 5 matches now.
What’s next
IF Brommapojkarna's next match is at home against BK Hacken on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
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