AFC Toronto (Wom) vs Halifax Tides FC (Wom): the story of the match
AFC Toronto (Wom) started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 28' — AFC Toronto (Wom) took the lead: 1-0. Kaylee Hunter scored it. 44' — Halifax Tides FC (Wom) equalised: 1-1. Saorla Miller scored it. Half time: 1-1, with AFC Toronto (Wom) applying more of the pressure.
After 91' the momentum swung to Halifax Tides FC (Wom). The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AFC Toronto (Wom)DrawHalifax Tides FC (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: AFC Toronto (Wom) 52%, draw 24%, Halifax Tides FC (Wom) 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
AFC Toronto (Wom)Halifax Tides FC (Wom)
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min1295
Last 15 min5883
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AFC Toronto (Wom) win in 52% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Halifax Tides FC (Wom) win 24%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AFC Toronto (Wom) – Halifax Tides FC (Wom) match report
The early pressure came from AFC Toronto (Wom), who controlled the opening 15 minutes. AFC Toronto (Wom) had a goal ruled out in the 28th minute. AFC Toronto (Wom) took the lead on 28 minutes thanks to Kaylee Hunter. Halifax Tides FC (Wom) drew level at 1-1 in the 44th minute: Saorla Miller. Half-time: 1-1 between AFC Toronto (Wom) and Halifax Tides FC (Wom).
Halifax Tides FC (Wom) took over after the 91st minute, pinning AFC Toronto (Wom) back.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 16-11, 7-7 on target. AFC Toronto (Wom) won 12 corners, Halifax Tides FC (Wom) 7.
What it means
Halifax Tides FC (Wom) have now gone 6 matches without a win. Across 5 meetings in our records: 2 wins for AFC Toronto (Wom) and 3 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
