Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
AFC Emley beat Lancaster City FC 1-0 in North Premier Division.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AFC Emley won 1-0.
Story
AFC Emley vs Lancaster City FC: the story of the match
40' — AFC Emley took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
AFC Emley won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AFC EmleyDrawLancaster City FC
Pre-match model estimate: AFC Emley 35%, draw 24%, Lancaster City FC 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AFC Emley win in 35% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Lancaster City FC win 41%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AFC Emley took the lead on 40 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, AFC Emley in front.
The statistics
Corners finished 4-6.
The bigger picture
AFC Emley climb from 18th to 14th on 17 points. Lancaster City FC slip to 12th (20 points), having started the day 11th. AFC Emley have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. Lancaster City FC's run of 7 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
