Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Adhyaksa FC Bekasi and Sumsel United FC drew 1-1 in Championship.
Venue: Purnawarman Stadium.
Match decisions & VAR
14'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
14'Goal disallowedSumsel United FCDecision · Score 0-0
63'Penalty awardedAdhyaksa FC BekasiDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
Adhyaksa FC Bekasi vs Sumsel United FC: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
64' — Adhyaksa FC Bekasi took the lead: 1-0. 90' — Sumsel United FC equalised: 1-1. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Adhyaksa FC BekasiDrawSumsel United FC
Pre-match model estimate: Adhyaksa FC Bekasi 55%, draw 23%, Sumsel United FC 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Adhyaksa FC Bekasi win in 55% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Sumsel United FC win 22%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Adhyaksa FC Bekasi – Sumsel United FC match report