AD Ovarense vs FC Alpendorada, 01/11/2026 15:00 – live score
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- AD OvarenseDLW
- FC AlpendoradaDLDWLNo win in 3 matches
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
AD Ovarense and FC Alpendorada meet on in Campeonato de Portugal – Group B.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
AD Ovarense vs FC Alpendorada: preview
AD Ovarense have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 matches. FC Alpendorada have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. FC Alpendorada have not won in 3 matches. 7 of FC Alpendorada's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
Our pre-match model estimate: AD Ovarense 35%, draw 25%, FC Alpendorada 40%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): AD Ovarense win in 35% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and FC Alpendorada win 40%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 56%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.

