Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AC Milan (Wom) won 3-0.
Story
AC Milan (Wom) vs Ternana (Wom): the story of the match
16' — AC Milan (Wom) took the lead: 1-0. 35' — AC Milan (Wom) extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0.
77' — AC Milan (Wom) extended the lead: 3-0. AC Milan (Wom) won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AC Milan (Wom)DrawTernana (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: AC Milan (Wom) 61%, draw 21%, Ternana (Wom) 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AC Milan (Wom) win in 61% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Ternana (Wom) win 18%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-0 (10%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AC Milan (Wom) took the lead on 16 minutes. AC Milan (Wom) extended their lead to 2-0 on 35 minutes. AC Milan (Wom) led 2-0 at the break.
VAR disallowed a AC Milan (Wom) goal on 48 minutes. AC Milan (Wom) extended their lead to 3-0 on 77 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 23-1, 9-1 on target. Corners finished 11-1. Dangerous attacks: 67 for AC Milan (Wom), 38 for Ternana (Wom).
The bigger picture
AC Milan (Wom) climb from 9th to 5th on 6 points. Ternana (Wom) slip to 6th (6 points), having started the day 4th. AC Milan (Wom) have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Ternana (Wom)'s run of 4 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
