Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AB Argir won 1-0.
Story
AB Argir vs 07 Vestur: the story of the match
4' — AB Argir took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
AB Argir won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AB ArgirDraw07 Vestur
Pre-match model estimate: AB Argir 42%, draw 25%, 07 Vestur 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AB Argir win in 42% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and 07 Vestur win 33%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
07 Vestur failed to score as AB Argir won 1-0 in the Premier League.
Key moments
AB Argir took the lead on 4 minutes. AB Argir had a goal ruled out in the 15th minute. AB Argir led 1-0 at the break.
What the numbers say
On target it was 5-7, from 5 and 11 attempts respectively. AB Argir won 3 corners, 07 Vestur 8. 7 saves came from the AB Argir goalkeeper. 07 Vestur produced 352 dangerous attacks to AB Argir's 247.
What the result means
In the table, AB Argir are 7th with 28 points. 07 Vestur sit 9th on 25 points in the standings. AB Argir end a run of 8 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
