Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Aarhus Fremad and FC Copenhagen meet on in DBU Pokalen.
Venue: Riisvangen.
In our records Aarhus Fremad and FC Copenhagen have met 6 times: Aarhus Fremad won 0, 3 ended level and FC Copenhagen won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Aarhus Fremad 3-3 FC Copenhagen.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards FC Copenhagen (75%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
16%75%
Aarhus Fremad9%Draw16%FC Copenhagen75%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Aarhus Fremad vs FC Copenhagen: preview
Aarhus Fremad have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Aarhus Fremad have not won in 6 matches. 2 of Aarhus Fremad's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. FC Copenhagen have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. FC Copenhagen have scored in 5 matches in a row. 5 of FC Copenhagen's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
In their last 6 meetings, Aarhus Fremad won 0, 3 ended level and FC Copenhagen won 3.
Our pre-match model estimate: Aarhus Fremad 9%, draw 16%, FC Copenhagen 75%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Aarhus Fremad win in 9% of the simulated matches, 16% end level and FC Copenhagen win 75%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 0-2 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Over the last 5 matches, Aarhus Fremad have collected 3 draws and 2 defeats. Aarhus Fremad are winless in 6. Aarhus Fremad have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
Recent form for FC Copenhagen: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in 5, with 8 goals for and 6 against. FC Copenhagen have found the net in 5 straight games. 5 of FC Copenhagen's last 10 matches ended without a goal conceded.
Head to head
Aarhus Fremad and FC Copenhagen have met 6 times in our records: 3 wins for FC Copenhagen and 3 draws. The last meeting, in 1999, finished 3-3. FC Copenhagen are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings with Aarhus Fremad.
DBU Pokalen
