WorldFootballSeason 26/27World / AGCFF Gulf Champions League season simulation
Model estimate Al Ettifaq Dammam — 49% title chance
Updated
Chances
| Team | Pts | xPts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajman Club | 6 | 7.2 | 47% |
| Al Ettifaq Dammam | 3 | 6.1 | 49% |
| Erbil SC | 0 | 3.1 | 4% |
| Kazma SC | 0 | 0.9 | 0% |
TitlexPts = Expected final points
Percentages: the share of the simulated seasons that end in that range of places — the stronger the colour, the likelier.
Final position probabilities
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajman Club | 47 | 47 | 6 | |
| Al Ettifaq Dammam | 49 | 32 | 19 | |
| Erbil SC | 4 | 21 | 57 | 18 |
| Kazma SC | 18 | 81 |
Model estimate from 10,000 simulated seasons: every remaining match is played with goal rates from both teams’ attack and defence (our global team rating, every league and cup on one scale, blended with a Dixon-Coles model of the league’s own results; recent matches weigh more), then the table is ranked with the tie-break rules. A probability, not a prediction of any single result. 3 remaining matches · data version 1nzsod.