FootballSeason 26/27Ligue 2 season simulation
Model estimate MO Bejaia — 38% title chance
Updated
Chances
| Team | Pts | xPts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| MO Bejaia | 17 | 53.1 | 38% |
| Paradou AC | 14 | 50.1 | 21% |
| MSP Batna | 17 | 50.2 | 19% |
| JS Azazga | 17 | 47.9 | 10% |
| USM Annaba | 15 | 46 | 6% |
| JSM Skikda | 15 | 44.5 | 3% |
| US Chaouia | 11 | 41.6 | 1% |
| AS Khroub | 12 | 40.9 | 1% |
| NC Magra | 14 | 39.9 | 1% |
| CA Batna | 11 | 38.8 | <1% |
| MO Constantine | 13 | 37.6 | <1% |
| NRB Beni Oulbane | 11 | 37.5 | <1% |
| JS Djijel | 9 | 34 | <1% |
| NRB Teleghma | 9 | 31.6 | <1% |
| IRB Nezla | 7 | 29.1 | 0% |
| CR Beni Thour | 6 | 26.8 | 0% |
TitlexPts = Expected final points
Percentages: the share of the simulated seasons that end in that range of places — the stronger the colour, the likelier.
Final position probabilities
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MO Bejaia | 38 | 23 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||
| Paradou AC | 21 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||
| MSP Batna | 19 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||
| JS Azazga | 10 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |||||
| USM Annaba | 6 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| JSM Skikda | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | |||
| US Chaouia | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| AS Khroub | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| NC Magra | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| CA Batna | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | |||
| MO Constantine | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| NRB Beni Oulbane | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| JS Djijel | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 6 | |||||
| NRB Teleghma | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 15 | ||||||
| IRB Nezla | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 28 | 26 | |||||||
| CR Beni Thour | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 47 |
Model estimate from 10,000 simulated seasons: every remaining match is played with goal rates from both teams’ attack and defence (our global team rating, every league and cup on one scale, blended with a Dixon-Coles model of the league’s own results; recent matches weigh more), then the table is ranked with the tie-break rules. A probability, not a prediction of any single result. 168 remaining matches · data version 135usj. 168 pairings without a date yet were added from the double round robin.