FußballSaison 26/27League Two Saisonsimulation
Modellschätzung Barnet FC — 46 % Titelchance
Aktualisiert
Chancen
| Team | Pkt | xPkt | Titel | Aufstieg | Aufstiegs-Play-off | Abstieg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet FC | 26 | 83,8 | 46% | 85% | 13% | 0% |
| Salford City | 31 | 82,6 | 35% | 81% | 17% | 0% |
| FC Walsall | 22 | 75,6 | 10% | 47% | 38% | 0% |
| Fleetwood Town | 17 | 71 | 2% | 21% | 44% | <1% |
| Grimsby Town | 20 | 70,6 | 3% | 21% | 42% | <1% |
| Exeter City | 19 | 66,7 | 1% | 8% | 33% | <1% |
| FC Chesterfield | 19 | 66 | 1% | 8% | 30% | <1% |
| Crewe Alexandra | 22 | 65,4 | <1% | 6% | 26% | <1% |
| Tranmere Rovers FC | 19 | 63,9 | <1% | 4% | 22% | <1% |
| Accrington Stanley | 19 | 63,6 | <1% | 4% | 22% | 1% |
| Cheltenham Town | 21 | 64 | <1% | 4% | 22% | 1% |
| FC Gillingham | 20 | 63,6 | <1% | 4% | 21% | 1% |
| Port Vale | 15 | 62,8 | <1% | 3% | 19% | 1% |
| York City | 20 | 62,5 | <1% | 3% | 18% | 1% |
| Swindon Town | 19 | 60,2 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 2% |
| Oldham Athletic | 15 | 59,3 | <1% | 1% | 9% | 3% |
| AFC Newport County | 18 | 56,1 | 0% | <1% | 4% | 6% |
| Bristol Rovers | 16 | 54,2 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% |
| Colchester United | 12 | 53,8 | 0% | <1% | 2% | 13% |
| Shrewsbury Town | 18 | 53,5 | 0% | <1% | 2% | 13% |
| Northampton Town | 14 | 52,4 | 0% | <1% | 1% | 15% |
| Rotherham United | 12 | 48,6 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 35% |
| AFC Rochdale | 15 | 47 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 46% |
| Crawley Town | 9 | 46 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 50% |
Prozente: Anteil der simulierten Spielzeiten, die in diesem Platzbereich enden — je kräftiger die Farbe, desto wahrscheinlicher.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Endplatzierung
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet FC | 46 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Salford City | 35 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||
| FC Walsall | 10 | 17 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| Fleetwood Town | 2 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||
| Grimsby Town | 3 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||
| Exeter City | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||
| FC Chesterfield | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||||
| Crewe Alexandra | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||
| Tranmere Rovers FC | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| Accrington Stanley | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| Cheltenham Town | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| FC Gillingham | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | |||||
| Port Vale | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| York City | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| Swindon Town | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| Oldham Athletic | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| AFC Newport County | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |||||
| Bristol Rovers | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | ||||||
| Colchester United | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 5 | |||||||
| Shrewsbury Town | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 5 | ||||||||
| Northampton Town | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 6 | ||||||||
| Rotherham United | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 18 | |||||||||||
| AFC Rochdale | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 26 | |||||||||||||
| Crawley Town | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 30 |
Modellschätzung aus 10.000 simulierten Saisons: Jedes verbleibende Spiel wird mit Torraten aus Angriff und Abwehr beider Teams ausgetragen (unsere globale Team-Wertung – alle Ligen und Pokale auf einer Skala –, gemischt mit einem Dixon-Coles-Modell der Ergebnisse dieser Liga; neuere Spiele zählen stärker), anschließend wird die Tabelle nach den Entscheidungskriterien sortiert. Eine Wahrscheinlichkeit, keine Vorhersage eines einzelnen Ergebnisses. 388 verbleibende Spiele · Datenstand 106ts1. 388 Paarungen ohne Termin wurden nach dem Modus mit Hin- und Rückrunde ergänzt.