FußballSaison 26/27League One Saisonsimulation
Modellschätzung Huddersfield Town — 43 % Titelchance
Aktualisiert
Chancen
| Team | Pkt | xPkt | Titel | Aufstieg | Aufstiegs-Play-off | Abstieg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Town | 29 | 86,9 | 43% | 66% | 30% | 0% |
| Oxford United | 26 | 82,4 | 18% | 38% | 48% | 0% |
| Stockport County | 26 | 82,1 | 18% | 37% | 48% | 0% |
| Luton Town | 24 | 80 | 10% | 25% | 53% | 0% |
| Bradford City | 22 | 76,4 | 4% | 11% | 47% | <1% |
| Plymouth Argyle | 23 | 74,5 | 3% | 8% | 39% | 0% |
| FC Reading | 22 | 72,3 | 2% | 5% | 33% | <1% |
| Stevenage FC | 16 | 70,8 | 1% | 4% | 27% | <1% |
| Leicester City | 19 | 70,5 | 1% | 3% | 25% | <1% |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 20 | 69,4 | 1% | 2% | 22% | <1% |
| Notts County | 14 | 65,3 | <1% | <1% | 10% | <1% |
| Leyton Orient | 17 | 65 | <1% | 1% | 9% | <1% |
| Cambridge United | 21 | 62,5 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 1% |
| Wycombe Wanderers | 18 | 62 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 1% |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 18 | 60,7 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 2% |
| Mansfield Town | 19 | 54,4 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 11% |
| Burton Albion | 17 | 53,8 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 13% |
| Peterborough United | 10 | 49,7 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 30% |
| Doncaster Rovers | 12 | 49,2 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 31% |
| FC Barnsley | 9 | 48,3 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 38% |
| FC Blackpool | 12 | 47,2 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 43% |
| Wigan Athletic | 11 | 45,4 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 54% |
| AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 41,4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 78% |
| Bromley FC | 9 | 33,7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 97% |
Prozente: Anteil der simulierten Spielzeiten, die in diesem Platzbereich enden — je kräftiger die Farbe, desto wahrscheinlicher.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Endplatzierung
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Town | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Oxford United | 18 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
| Stockport County | 18 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| Luton Town | 10 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| Bradford City | 4 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |||||||||||
| Plymouth Argyle | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||
| FC Reading | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||
| Stevenage FC | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||||||
| Leicester City | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |||||||||
| Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||
| Notts County | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||
| Leyton Orient | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||
| Cambridge United | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||
| Wycombe Wanderers | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||
| Mansfield Town | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||
| Burton Albion | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||||||||||
| Peterborough United | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||||||||||
| Doncaster Rovers | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 2 | |||||||||||
| FC Barnsley | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 3 | ||||||||||||
| FC Blackpool | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 4 | ||||||||||||
| Wigan Athletic | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 5 | |||||||||||||
| AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 31 | 15 | |||||||||||||||
| Bromley FC | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 69 |
Modellschätzung aus 10.000 simulierten Saisons: Jedes verbleibende Spiel wird mit Torraten aus Angriff und Abwehr beider Teams ausgetragen (unsere globale Team-Wertung – alle Ligen und Pokale auf einer Skala –, gemischt mit einem Dixon-Coles-Modell der Ergebnisse dieser Liga; neuere Spiele zählen stärker), anschließend wird die Tabelle nach den Entscheidungskriterien sortiert. Eine Wahrscheinlichkeit, keine Vorhersage eines einzelnen Ergebnisses. 394 verbleibende Spiele · Datenstand 46tge0. 394 Paarungen ohne Termin wurden nach dem Modus mit Hin- und Rückrunde ergänzt.