EnglandFußballSaison 26/27League Two Saisonsimulation
Modellschätzung Barnet FC — 44 % Titelchance
Aktualisiert
Chancen
| Team | Pkt | xPkt | Titel | Aufstieg | Aufstiegs-Play-off | Abstieg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet FC | 26 | 83,5 | 44% | 85% | 13% | 0% |
| Salford City | 31 | 82,7 | 37% | 81% | 16% | 0% |
| FC Walsall | 22 | 75,2 | 9% | 44% | 39% | 0% |
| Fleetwood Town | 17 | 71,2 | 3% | 22% | 45% | <1% |
| Grimsby Town | 20 | 70,5 | 3% | 21% | 42% | <1% |
| Exeter City | 19 | 66,8 | 1% | 8% | 34% | <1% |
| FC Chesterfield | 19 | 65,7 | 1% | 7% | 29% | <1% |
| Crewe Alexandra | 22 | 65,4 | <1% | 6% | 26% | <1% |
| Tranmere Rovers FC | 19 | 63,7 | <1% | 4% | 22% | 1% |
| FC Gillingham | 20 | 63,8 | <1% | 4% | 22% | 1% |
| Cheltenham Town | 21 | 63,7 | <1% | 4% | 22% | 1% |
| Accrington Stanley | 19 | 63,1 | <1% | 4% | 21% | 1% |
| Port Vale | 15 | 62,8 | <1% | 3% | 18% | 1% |
| York City | 20 | 62,5 | <1% | 3% | 18% | 1% |
| Swindon Town | 19 | 59,9 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 3% |
| Oldham Athletic | 15 | 58,5 | <1% | 1% | 8% | 4% |
| AFC Newport County | 18 | 55,8 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 7% |
| Bristol Rovers | 16 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% |
| Shrewsbury Town | 18 | 54,3 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% |
| Colchester United | 12 | 53,8 | 0% | <1% | 2% | 13% |
| Northampton Town | 14 | 52,6 | 0% | <1% | 1% | 15% |
| Rotherham United | 12 | 49 | 0% | <1% | 1% | 33% |
| AFC Rochdale | 15 | 46,7 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 49% |
| Crawley Town | 9 | 46,1 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 51% |
Prozente: Anteil der simulierten Spielzeiten, die in diesem Platzbereich enden — je kräftiger die Farbe, desto wahrscheinlicher.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Endplatzierung
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet FC | 44 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Salford City | 37 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||
| FC Walsall | 9 | 16 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||
| Fleetwood Town | 3 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||
| Grimsby Town | 3 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||
| Exeter City | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
| FC Chesterfield | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||||
| Crewe Alexandra | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||
| Tranmere Rovers FC | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| FC Gillingham | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| Cheltenham Town | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| Accrington Stanley | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| Port Vale | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| York City | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| Swindon Town | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| Oldham Athletic | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| AFC Newport County | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||||
| Bristol Rovers | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||||
| Shrewsbury Town | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 4 | ||||||
| Colchester United | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | |||||||
| Northampton Town | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 6 | ||||||||
| Rotherham United | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 17 | |||||||||||
| AFC Rochdale | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 28 | |||||||||||||
| Crawley Town | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 31 |
Modellschätzung aus 10.000 simulierten Saisons: Jedes verbleibende Spiel wird mit Torraten aus Angriff und Abwehr beider Teams ausgetragen (unsere globale Team-Wertung – alle Ligen und Pokale auf einer Skala –, gemischt mit einem Dixon-Coles-Modell der Ergebnisse dieser Liga; neuere Spiele zählen stärker), anschließend wird die Tabelle nach den Entscheidungskriterien sortiert. Eine Wahrscheinlichkeit, keine Vorhersage eines einzelnen Ergebnisses. 388 verbleibende Spiele · Datenstand 1g7e6r. 377 Paarungen ohne Termin wurden nach dem Modus mit Hin- und Rückrunde ergänzt.