Wrexham FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: the story of the match
25' — Wolverhampton Wanderers took the lead: 0-1. Adam Armstrong scored it. 27' — Wrexham FC equalised: 1-1. Lewis O'Brien scored it. Half time: 1-1.
The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Wrexham FCDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
Pre-match model estimate: Wrexham FC 28%, draw 27%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 45%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Wrexham FC win in 28% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Wolverhampton Wanderers win 45%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 50%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Wolverhampton Wanderers took the lead on 25 minutes thanks to Adam Armstrong, set up by Nasser Djiga. Just 2 minutes later (27') Wrexham FC drew level at 1-1, Lewis O'Brien on target, set up by Issa Kaboré. Half-time: 1-1 between Wrexham FC and Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Match statistics
Wrexham FC had 5 shots (4 on target) to Wolverhampton Wanderers' 7 (5). Corners finished 1-7. Wolverhampton Wanderers produced 62 dangerous attacks to Wrexham FC's 34.
The bigger picture
The result lifts Wrexham FC to 15th with 18 points, up from 16th. Wolverhampton Wanderers drop from 2nd to 4th on 28 points. The result ends Wolverhampton Wanderers' run of 3 straight wins.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
