13' — Burnley took the lead: 0-1. J. Bruun Larsen scored it. 19' — Burnley extended the lead: 0-2. Z. Amdouni scored it. 25' — Burnley extended the lead: 0-3. R. Hatate scored it. Half time: 0-3.
88' — Burnley extended the lead: 0-4. M. Edwards scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Burnley won 0-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
WatfordDrawBurnley
Pre-match model estimate: Watford 30%, draw 27%, Burnley 43%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 4-0 rout: Burnley swept Watford aside at Vicarage Road. The half-time score was 0-3.
How the match unfolded
Burnley took the lead on 13 minutes thanks to J. Bruun Larsen, set up by R. Hatate. Z. Amdouni made it 2-0 for Burnley after 19 minutes. Just 6 minutes later (25') Burnley extended their lead to 3-0, R. Hatate on target, set up by Lucas Pires. It was Watford 0-3 Burnley at half-time.
Late on, in the 88th minute, Burnley extended their lead to 4-0 through M. Edwards.
What the numbers say
Watford had 8 shots (7 on target) to Burnley's 15 (10). Watford won 6 corners, Burnley 2.
What the result means
Burnley end a run of 5 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
