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Vitoria Setubal beat GD Lagoa 3-1 in Campeonato de Portugal – Group D.
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: Vitoria Setubal won 3-1.
Half time: 3-1.
Vitoria Setubal won 3-1.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: Vitoria Setubal 53%, draw 25%, GD Lagoa 22%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Vitoria Setubal win in 53% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and GD Lagoa win 22%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 51%. About 10.3 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Published: · Updated:
Vitoria Setubal got the better of GD Lagoa, winning 3-1.
The halves went 3-1 and 0-0.
A 3-game wait for victory is over for Vitoria Setubal. The wait for a win goes on for GD Lagoa: 5 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
