VfL Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus: the story of the match
4' — VfL Wolfsburg took the lead: 1-0. R. Glatzel scored from the penalty spot. 25' — VfL Wolfsburg extended the lead: 2-0. Vini Souza scored it. 34' — VfL Wolfsburg extended the lead: 3-0. R. Glatzel scored it. 45' — Energie Cottbus pulled one back: 3-1. L. Erlein scored it. Half time: 3-1.
49' — Energie Cottbus pulled one back: 3-2. K. Manu scored it. 67' — Energie Cottbus equalised: 3-3. T. Cigerci scored from the penalty spot. 79' — VfL Wolfsburg went back in front: 4-3. M. Svanberg scored it. 88' — M. Angely of VfL Wolfsburg was sent off. 90' — Energie Cottbus equalised: 4-4. D. Bogdanov scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 4-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
VfL WolfsburgDrawEnergie Cottbus
Pre-match model estimate: VfL Wolfsburg 63%, draw 20%, Energie Cottbus 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
VfL Wolfsburg took the lead on 4 minutes thanks to R. Glatzel from the penalty spot. Vini Souza made it 2-0 for VfL Wolfsburg after 25 minutes, set up by F. Reese. VfL Wolfsburg extended their lead to 3-0 on 34 minutes thanks to R. Glatzel, set up by A. Bernhardsson. L. Erlein reduced the deficit for Energie Cottbus to 3-1 after 45 minutes. VfL Wolfsburg led 3-1 at the break.
Just 4 minutes later (49') Energie Cottbus pulled one back to make it 3-2, K. Manu on target, set up by L. Michelbrink. Energie Cottbus drew level at 3-3 on 67 minutes thanks to T. Cigerci from the penalty spot. M. Svanberg put VfL Wolfsburg 4-3 ahead after 79 minutes, set up by M. Angely. VfL Wolfsburg had a player sent off on 88 minutes: M. Angely. Energie Cottbus drew level at 4-4 in the 90th minute: D. Bogdanov, set up by C. Kinsombi.
What it means
Energie Cottbus end a run of 3 straight defeats.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
2. Bundesliga
