US Amal Tiznit vs Kawkab AC Marrakech: the story of the match
42' — Kawkab AC Marrakech took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
Kawkab AC Marrakech won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
US Amal TiznitDrawKawkab AC Marrakech
Pre-match model estimate: US Amal Tiznit 31%, draw 29%, Kawkab AC Marrakech 40%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): US Amal Tiznit win in 31% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and Kawkab AC Marrakech win 40%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 41%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Botola 1
