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UD Serra and AC Malveira drew 1-1 in Campeonato de Portugal – Group C.
Venue: Campo da Portela.
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Half time: 0-1.
The match ended 1-1.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: UD Serra 35%, draw 25%, AC Malveira 40%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): UD Serra win in 35% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and AC Malveira win 40%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 54%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Published: · Updated:
It finished 1-1 between UD Serra and AC Malveira at Campo da Portela.
The halves went 0-1 and 1-0.
UD Serra are now unbeaten in 9 matches. AC Malveira extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
