21' — PEC Zwolle took the lead: 0-1. E. Sorensen scored it. 38' — Twente equalised: 1-1. D. Weidmann scored it. Half time: 1-1.
59' — Twente completed the turnaround: 2-1. An own goal by D. Mbayo. 69' — Twente extended the lead: 3-1. D. Rots scored it. Twente won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
TwenteDrawPEC Zwolle
Pre-match model estimate: Twente 76%, draw 16%, PEC Zwolle 8%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
PEC Zwolle let a lead slip and lost 3-1 to Twente at De Grolsch Veste.
How the match unfolded
PEC Zwolle took the lead in the 21st minute: E. Sorensen, set up by T. Oosting. D. Weidmann equalised for Twente at 1-1 after 38 minutes, set up by S. Orjasaeter. It was Twente 1-1 PEC Zwolle at half-time.
Twente completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 59 minutes thanks to an own goal from D. Mbayo. Twente extended their lead to 3-1 in the 69th minute: D. Rots, set up by R. Zerrouki.
What the result means
Twente had not beaten PEC Zwolle in any of the previous 4 meetings we have.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eredivisie
